Showing posts with label Theresa May. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Theresa May. Show all posts

March 22, 2019

If Brexit ends in tears, Theresa May is clearly not the only one that should be blamed and not be forgiven.

Sir, Martin Wolf writes that Theresa May needed to begin Brexit negotiations “from the interests of the country. She has failed to do so… If the result is no deal, Mrs May could not be forgiven. “May is set on taking a hideous gamble” March 22.

Yes, for an outsider like me, Theresa May seems indeed to have managed very badly Brexit negotiations. But just as Lubomir Zaoralek the minister of foreign affairs of the Czech Republic wrote July 2016 in FT “Europe’s institutions must share the blame for Brexit”, the EU Brexit negotiators, like Michel Barnier, cannot be said to have no blame in any failure. 

And also, again for an outsider like me, I have seen little to nothing of all those Remainers giving, “from the interests of the country”, any constructive advice or cooperation in order to reach a more satisfactory solution. As I see it, the Brexit-failure political profiteers, as well as those eager to enhance their reputation by being able to point out “I told you so”, have refused to cooperate or to give any constructive advice, and so all they should also share the blame of a failure… and “not be forgiven.”

As far as I know a Hard Remain option that could have alleviated some of the Brexiters’ main justified concerns was never developed.

PS. A question: If because of the insane 0% risk weighting of their sovereigns the Eurozone breaks up, and drags down EU with it, would Britain be better off having Brexited or having remained in EU? 

@PerKurowski

May 05, 2017

No Martin Wolf! You do not get good results, for all, with Brexit negotiations, arguing that the UK holds a weak hand.

Sir, Martin Wolf, with respect to Brexit negotiations writes: “Theresa May should have realised, above all, that she holds a weak hand: the costs of no deal would be far bigger for the UK than the EU.” “Britain has the chance to secure a smooth Brexit transition” May 5.

What? Weak hand? EU has more to lose from Brexit than UK. EU gets stuck with the Euro, and so many other unresolved differences, languages included, without having Britain as a calming unofficial arbitrator. How many EU countries does Wolf think that will be glad seeing UK leave, and would settle with a high indemnity payment?

That is the only starting point that can lead to a continuous amicable and useful for all Britain and EU relation.

The more all European citizens send that message to those dummkopfs in Brussels who want to play macho men, in order to get back at those who showed so much disdain for them that they wanted to leave, the better for all in Europe.

The local European governments should be especially alert and not allow some few technocrats in Brussels to decide their future relations with Britain. It is they who will pay the costs.

Everyone might be helped by an ad campaign along the lines of: "EU, Brussels’s technocrats share blame for Brexit. If you Europeans want an amiable separation, help keep them in check"

Britain, of course, do not let these arguments I make go to your head either. It’s all a quid pro quo.

@PerKurowski

February 09, 2017

Why are experts like Martin Wolf so silent on the immoral and utterly stupid facets of current bank regulations?

Sir, Martin Wolf questions the UK government’s “moral choices for a country forced to share out losses imposed by a massive financial crisis and weak subsequent growth [because] the government has decided to give greater priority to the old than to the young, to pensioners than families with children and to the better off than to the relatively worse off” “May’s policies make a mockery of her rhetoric” February 10.

But, when I question the intelligence and the morality of current bank regulations, Wolf ignores it. So Sir, here we go again, for the umpteenth time!

The risk weighted capital requirements for banks, caused a massive financial crisis by giving too large incentives for banks to create excessive bank exposures to what was supposed to be safe, like AAA rated securities and Greece; and with incentives that hinder banks from taking sufficient risks on the future, like lending to “risky” SMEs and entrepreneurs, causes weak growth and lack of increased productivity.

That clearly immorally favors the well-off over those poor wanting and needing credit opportunities; just as it immorally favors banks financing the safer past and present, than the riskier future the young need to be financed.

It is also I would say almost immorally stupid; since major bank crises always result from unexpected events, criminal behavior or excessive exposures to what was erroneously perceived or decreed as safe, and never ever from excessive exposures to something perceived as risky when placed on banks’ balance sheets.

Basel I assigned a risk weight of 0% to the Sovereign and one of 100% to us We the People; and it would seem Wolf is unable to grasp the runaway statism of that.

Basel II assigned a risk weight of 20% to what was AAA to AA rated and one of 150% to what is below BB-; and it would seem Wolf is unable to grasp the lunacy of that.

@PerKurowski

October 12, 2016

Could BoE’s bank regulation risk weights for the infallible UK sovereign also have to go negative; from 0% to -20%?

Sir, Martin Wolf writes that “The government will learn about the limits of sovereignty in an open economy” “The markets teach May a harsh lesson” October 12.

What a surprise? I thought that someone like Wolf, who seems to agree with the concept expressed by the Basel Committee of a 0% risk weight for the sovereign, and a 100% risk weight for We the People, would not doubt the powers of the infallible sovereign this way.

Jest aside, an “Open Market” does not currently exist. In such market regulators would not be able to distort the allocation of bank credit as they do.

A very nervous Wolf writes: If “the inflows of capital needed to finance the UK's huge external deficit… ceased… Then the currency might collapse. Yields on gilts might also jump”

Calm! Take it easy Mr Wolf. The neo-independent BoE could then declare that the risk weight for the infallible sovereign of UK should also turn negative, and so be lowered from 0% to minus 20%. See… problem fixed!

To discuss economy, in a world in which bank credit is being so distorted, and so few care about it, makes me sometimes feel as I have fallen down Alice’s Rabbit-Hole. I hope, for my grandchildren’s sake, I wake up to find its all been a nightmare.

@PerKurowski ©