Showing posts with label EFSF. Show all posts
Showing posts with label EFSF. Show all posts
October 05, 2012
Sir, Martin Wolf writes that in Europe, bank assets in 2010 were 350 percent of GDP and holds that “Liikanen is at least a step forward for EU banks”, October 5. I totally disagree.
When the banking sector is so important, it is even more important to make sure that there are no distortions in how it assigns its resources, and so, wasting precious time taking steps forward, without even mentioning the huge regulatory distortion which exists, less acting on it, is just as wrong as it can be.
Wolf now agrees with “the skepticism on risk-weighting”, and now holds that “much higher un-weighted equity requirements are needed”. Though late, that is good. Unfortunately Wolf argues his support based on “given the experience of its limitations”, which means that had the crisis not erupted he would find no fault in a regulatory framework that is so fundamentally wrong.
Regulations with capital requirements which allow banks to leverage their equity 60 times and more with assets considered ex-ante as not risky, earning higher returns on equity, but only 12 times for normal banking assets like loans to small businesses and entrepreneurs because these are officially ex-ante considered “risky”, even though these assets have never ever caused a crisis, amounts to an unbelievable distortion of the economy.
I read, in Wikipedia, that Martin Wolf was influenced by Friedrich Hayek’s “The road to serfdom”. Sadly it looks like he was not influenced enough so as to understand that allowing petty bank regulating bureaucrats, play risk managers for the world by assigning risk-weights, places us precisely on that road.
In the foreword of “The road to serfdom” Hayek explains that he writes the book which will negatively affect his own personal life, “out of duty”, because the majority of economists have…been silenced by their official positions, and that in consequence public opinion on…problems is to an alarming extent guided by amateurs and cranks, by people who have an axe to grind or a pet panacea to sell.
Well out of the same sense of duty, and of course also with personal sacrifices, I will endure in criticizing what I consider to be absolutely crazy bank regulations. Just to think how much more in interest rates to pay or lesser access to bank credit, the small European businesses and entrepreneurs will have to suffer, only because of these regulations, precisely when we most need them to create jobs, makes me cry.
Please, for the time being, at least while European bank capital is rebuilt, half at least the capital requirements for banks when lending to the “risky”. That will never represent a risk superior than having the European banks lending excessively to what is officially perceived as “absolutely safe”.
September 21, 2010
Don’t forget the non-AAAs
Sir Peter Spiegel, David Oakley and Ralph Atkins report that “EU rescue fund rated triple A” September 21. Do they really know what that means?
It means that the banks when at some point in the future they are asked to acquire bonds or otherwise lend to European Financial Stability Facility they be able to do so without the need of capital. It will mean that it will be cheaper to fill the hole of the past than to build the mountain of the future. Good or bad? If I owned Greek bonds and wanted to get bailed out I would find that great but, if what I wanted was a bank loan to set up a new venture it would surely be bad, because I would have to pay for the cost of the discrimination in favor of the EU.
Since Basel III kept intact all the risk-weight discriminations in favor of the AAAs and the Jean-Claude Trichet bureaucrats of this world, we should never forget the non-AAAs and private borrowers who are and will have to pay for it all.
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