October 09, 2008

Why does Martin Wolf keep mum!

Sir Martin Wolf in “Asia’s revenge” October 9, (the why for the title is not very clear), spends many paragraphs describing the accumulations of huge surpluses with many origins that recycling went to pursuit better opportunities in the US and failed miserably. Wolf puts much of the blame on a “housing bubble” but as he admits this is partially a circular argument since part of the house bubble was also a response to the huge demand for investments those surpluses created. Also let us remember that in all other countries, house bubbles as large as or even larger than that in the US, have not resulted in anything as destructive like what came out of the build up of financial instruments around the subprime mortgage sector in the US.

Wolf quotes Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff saying “Over a trillion dollars was channelled into the subprime mortgage markets, which is comprised of the poorest and least creditworthy borrowers within the US” and which is of course true. The question though is how come Martin Wolf avoids even posing the most natural and most important question of… How come they did that?

UNCTAD in their policy brief titled “The Crisis of the Century”, released on October 6 state “There are a few quick regulatory fixes that can be taken at both the national and international levels. The first is to reassess the role of credit rating agencies. These agencies, which should solve information problems and increase transparency, seem to have played the opposite role and made the market even more opaque.

And of course Unctad is absolutely right. It was the credit rating agencies, empowered by the regulators that guided the recyclable funds into subprime swamplands.

Again, why does Martin Wolf keep mum on it?

Unctad more on top of financial issues than FT?

P.S. Why can I be accused of monomania, writing so much on what I believe is the very harmful error of empowering the credit rating agencies too much while those ignoring this blatant mistake are not accused of a similar obsession?