Showing posts with label US. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US. Show all posts
October 17, 2020
Hannah Kuchler writing about her FT lunch with Atul Gawande on the battle to beat Covid-19, writes: “The US is polarised over its priorities, between those arguing in favour of putting the economy first, and those who want to concentrate on saving lives.”. It also states “People are more at risk of Covid-19 if they have underlying conditions such as diabetes and hypertension.”
Sir, when compared to age, diabetes and hypertension read like truly insignificant underlying conditions. In USA, as of October 14, those older than 70 years comprise 89% of all those dead from Covid-19 in USA, those under 45 years, 3%. Yet, in terms of who will have to pay the economic/ mental health/ societal costs of any top down imposed responses to the virus that favors saving lives, the reverse percentage is to be expected.
Sir, with those kinds of figures, don’t you think one could develop a response to Covid-19 that could better consider both priorities?
Of course, one could. Just look at Sweden keeping schools up to 9th year open while asking grandfathers to refrain from hugging their grandchildren.
Why has that not happened in the US? The answer to Hannah Kuchler’s “Is the US as a country more at risk because of the underlying condition of its healthcare system?” Is YES! It also suffers the polarization virus, and way too many polarization profiteers just don’t want harmony vaccines to appear.
@PerKurowski
April 11, 2018
The US might be an SOB of a superpower, but it is our (or at least mine) SOB superpower.
Sir, Martin Wolf writes: “China is, not the real threat. The threat is the decadence of the west, very much including the US — the prevalence of rent extraction as a way of economic life, the indifference to the fate of much of its citizenry, the corrupting role of money in politics, the indifference to the truth, and the sacrifice of long-term investment to private and public consumption. It is indeed a tragedy that the best way we could find to escape from a financial crisis was via monetary policies that risked promoting new bubbles. We could be better than this.” “The rivalry that will shape the 21st century” April 11.
On the “sacrifice of long-term investment to private and public consumption” I could not agree more. But that is precisely why I have been attacking, day and night, obsessively, the risk weighted capital requirements for banks. These make our banks favor way too much the financing of the present “safer” consumption (houses-governments) and stay away, way too much, from financing the “riskier” future production (entreprenuers). Unfortunately too many, Martin Wolf included, have been indifferent to that truth.
But, that said, on the first part “the prevalence of rent extraction as a way of economic life, the indifference to the fate of much of its citizenry, the corrupting role of money in politics, the indifference to the truth”, is China really better than the west or the US?
I don’t think so, but even if it was so, when push comes to show, there comes a point when you have to decide what superpower you prefer. I have no doubt preferring the west, the US… though Graham Allison of Harvard seems to harbor some doubts on that arguing that “China rivals the US in…ideology”.
In what I entirely agree with Wolf is when, explaining it so well, he states “The idea that intellectual property is sacrosanct is wrong. It is innovation that is sacrosanct. Intellectual property rights both help and hurt that effort. A balance has to be struck between rights that are too tight and too loose”
Yes, and for years I have suggested that balancing could start by taxing the profits obtained when competing protected by intellectual property rights, at a higher rate than profits derived from competing naked in the market. And since what becomes protected with IPRs is the last leg of our human heritage inventiveness, those taxes should perhaps also help to fund a Universal Basic Income, something which would be a de facto social dividend.
PS. That said, when Wolf says “the US can huff and puff about Chinese theft of intellectual property” then I am not sure really which SOB is Wolf’s favorite superpower.
PS. For full disclose, had it not been for the US, I would certainly not be around.
PS. All morphed faces look ugly but, in reference to Times’ recent cover, if faces have to morph, what faces would you prefer to see morphing, Trump-Putin, Trump-Xi Jinping or Putin Xi-Jinping?
@PerKurowski
August 17, 2017
In order to find common Nafta ground, US, Canada and Mexico must begin by clearing for robots and automation
Shawn Donnan and Jude Webber quote Robert Lighthizer, US trade representative, having told negotiators. “Thousands of American factory workers have lost their jobs because of these provisions.” “Canada and Mexico rebuke US as Nafta renegotiation starts” August 17.
If Nafta members take notice of what robots and automation has done to manufacturing jobs, in all of their nations, then instead of facing each other as enemies they would be sharing a challenge.
It still amazes me how the recent American elections failed to recognize the job opportunities lost to automation. Had that not happened, Donald Trump would have had to speak about a Wall against robots instead, and would not have become president… not that that would have solved much either.
Jobs lost to robots and automation is not an easy problem to handle as it does produce good results too. If I was Nafta I would begin by asking my partners: “How do we make sure our grandchildren will be able to live surrounded by 1st class robots and smart artificial intelligence and not end up with 3rd class ones and dumb AI? That would be a real positive and constructive challenge for it.
@PerKurowski
February 12, 2017
How do you suggest a contrarian belief to a President without causing him great disconfirmatory feedback discomfort?
Sir, Tim Harford writes that when “I think I’m doing a good job, and then you tell me that I’m not… [research indicates] “that when this, which in the jargon is known as disconfirmatory feedback arrived, workers would then avoid contact with the people who had given them the unwelcome comments.” “If I’m cruising along in a complacent bubble, I badly need someone to explain what I’m doing wrong” January 11.
Bank regulators think they are doing great assigning a risk weight of 20% for what is AAA rated, and 150% for what is below BB-. I tell them they’re wrong, that what’s perceived as safe, contains much more danger than what is perceived as risky. I back it up with Voltaire’s “May God defend me from my friends, I can defend myself from my enemies” … and then the regulators avoid all contact with me. It sure looks like a case of reaction to a disconfirmatory feedback.
But, at a level of a Basel Committee for Banking Supervision should its members not have to be able to handle rationally any disconfirmatory feedback? And what about those even higher up?
For instance, I believe that in the race for jobs in the US, much more important than human competition from China and Mexico, is the fact that Americans have to compete with robots from everywhere that do not have to carry weights like payroll taxes.
Sir, I ask, how can I convey such a belief to a President without risking causing him great disconfirmatory feedback discomfort?
PS. Sir FT, since you have also mostly shut me up, could it be because I have gone over the level of disconfirmatory feedback you can handle? If so, how should we handle it? I ask because I have no wish to give up writing you my mind on so many things you might not agree with.
@PerKurowski
February 02, 2017
When will the competitiveness of your robots be more important to your real economy than that of your human workers?
Sir, if worker productivity had remained as 1950 levels, how many humans workers would have been needed in the world to deliver the 2016 manufacturing production, compared to those 43m who, according to Martin Wolf, were worldwide employed in 1950? I have no idea but definitely many times more than those 145m Wolf indicates as currently employed in 2016. “Tough talk on trade will not bring jobs back” February 1.
Set in this perspective “The main explanation for the longterm decline in the share of manufacturing employment in the US (and other high-income economies)” is not so much what Wolf states “the rise in employment elsewhere”, but the increased productivity of which Wolf also writes.
So, what do we want, the higher productivity that generates “sustained improvement in living standards”, or some lower productivity that could generate more jobs for humans?
Wolf, like most of us, perhaps with exception of those who might still dream of some 60s’ hippie-solutions, rightly prefers the first; and therefore his concern with that in the “US manufacturing employment rose a little… as a result… of productivity’s recent stagnation: in manufacturing, output per hour rose only 1 per cent between the first quarters of 2012 and 2016.”
The crudest implication of this is: do we need humans more capable to work or better robots? That question naturally leads to: will the competitiveness of the robots they possess, define the strength of future human groupings?
Sir, for me these are much more fundamental questions than that of: how can we save jobs for [our] manufacturer workers from being taken away by [their] workers?
In 2012 I wrote an Op-Ed titled “We need decent and worthy unemployments”. Perhaps within the application of a Universal Basic Income scheme, lies part of the solution to the enormous societal challenges automation causes.
But, no matter what we do, let us get rid of those dangerous distortions of the allocation of bank credit, because, whatever the future needs, how on earth are you suppose to give it to the future, if one is not willing for banks to take risks. Again, as a minimum minimorum, we must save ourselves from regulators so dumb they assign a 20% risk weight to that so dangerous to the bank system as the AAA rated, while hitting the innocuous below BB- rated, with a 150% risk weight.
Sir, I want my grandchildren to be able to develop themselves the most they can, as humans. That will require them being surrounded by content and happily unemployed humans, as well as possessing savagely efficient (and obedient) robots.
PS. The absence of statistical information on how much robots and other automation have substituted for human salaries and jobs, is baffling, especially in these data days. No wonder we might be in sore need of some artificial intelligence assistance, like from for instance IBM’s Watson.
@PerKurowski
October 09, 2016
I would not shed tears for the Basel Committee for Banking Supervision’s demise. Neither would millions of SMEs.
Sir, Caroline Binham and Jim Brunsden, with help of Laura Noonan, report that the Basel Committee for Banking Supervision is introducing reforms that include a contentious “output floor” that would limit banks’ ability to use their own internal models to assess risk. “In many cases this will effectively raise the amount of capital that banks have to hold” “Basel group warns of call for lenders to ramp up capital” October 8.
What do they mean with “in many cases”? How can anyone believe all banks authorized to use internal models do not use these to minimize the capital they need to hold …so that they can maximize their returns on equity?
Sadly, what is really contentious with all this, is how on earth we ended up with such infantile regulators.
Anyhow the authors report these reforms are creating some discord between the US and Europe; to such an extent it “tests the viability and purpose of the Basel group, founded 41 years ago to harmonise banking rules around the world.”
Sir, if that would signify the end of the Basel Committee, you know I will not shed a tear. Neither would the millions of SMEs and entrepreneurs who over the years have been denied fair access to bank credit, if they finally came to realize that was a direct consequence of Basel’s regulatory discrimination.
Knowledgeable bank regulators know below BB- rated assets are risky. Wise ones know what’s AAA rated is dangerous. The world is overdosing on information and knowledge and it sorely needs more wisdom.
PS: Here is an aide memoire on the regulatory monstrosity of the risk weighted capital requirements for banks.
@PerKurowski ©
September 08, 2016
Moody, what would happen to US credit ratings if suddenly it was not any longer the world’s mightiest military power?
Sir, Rochelle Toplensky and Eric Platt write that according to Moody, the four primary factors it considers when assessing a country’s creditworthiness are “very high degree of economic, institutional and government financial strength and its very low susceptibility to event risk”, “Moody’s warns next US president over debt” September 8.
In the case of the US they perhaps miss a very important factor. As I once argued in a letter that the Washington Post published, “Much more important than a triple-A for the United States is the fact that this country is, by far, the foremost military power in the world. Lose that supremacy and all hell breaks loose. Keep it and a BBB rating could do.”
And so perhaps you should ask Moody: How would it impact your credit rating of the US if the US was no longer, by far, the mightiest military power? And would the credit rating of any closing up mighty then automatically improve?
@PerKurowski ©
August 13, 2016
Do you think Trump wants to lose big? To risk hearing “You’re fired!”? What if he first negotiates with GOP and then quits?
Sir, I refer to Philip Delves Broughton’s article on the candidature of Donald Trump, “The nominee whose tactics make history irrelevant” August 13.
It is incomplete because, there more than 80 days until November 8, a very long time in these times when things can turn around in seconds, and it does presuppose that Trump would be willing to accept a very significant loss, having to hear “You’re fired!”, without considering the possibility he negotiates with the GOP, and quits, and thereby quite possibly allow an alternative republican candidate to win the elections. He is a businessman after all... or not?
And what of the Democrat party if Clinton loses? Would not Obama for instance then hold on to much more influence in it? Will Michelle run someday? Sir, you see there are plenty of questions in the air.
@PerKurowski ©
April 30, 2016
Risk adverse bank regulation, anathema to a “Home of the Brave”, has imposed a curse of slow growth on the US economy
Sir, you write: “With every month that passes, the decision of the Fed’s open market committee (FOMC) to raise interest rates in December looks more like a mistake. The US economy clearly decelerated around the turn of the year” “The curse of slow growth afflicts the US economy” April 30.
That increase you refer to is was from 0.25% to 0.5%. Frankly, no matter what it could have signaled to the markets, to believe such minimum minimorum rate increase plays any major role in the difficulties the US has reigniting its economy without huge fiscal or monetary stimulus, seems, excuse me, quite dumb to me.
Much more importance play the risk weighted capital requirements for banks, which have introduced, in the Home of the Brave, a credit risk aversion that seriously distorts the allocation of bank credit to the real economy.
If you need an aide memoire about how idiotic that regulation concocted by the Basel Committee here is one
@PerKurowski ©
April 06, 2016
Jamie Dimon should consider the long-term interest of his and of JPMorgan’s shareholders’ children and grandchildren
Sir, Ben McLannahan reports on Jamie Dimon’s letter to JPMorgan’s shareholders’. “JPMorgan chief Dimon warns on dangers of undermining US banks” April 7.
In his letter Dimon argues that tougher rules can weaken the competitiveness of US banks, for instance against the Chinese banks. That’s true! Especially in the short-term.
And McLannahan reminds us that “In 2014 Dimon argued that tougher rules would mean that customers faced more expensive credit, or would be denied certain financial products altogether.” That is also true!
But Dimon must also be perfectly aware that current bank capital requirement rules, for when lending to those ex ante perceived as “risky”, are much tougher than those for exposures to the “safe”.
And I refuse to think that Dimon does not know that distorting the access to bank credit in favor of the “safe” government and the AAArisktocracy, against that of the “risky” SMEs and entrepreneurs, only guarantees to sooner or later weaken tremendously the real economy of US.
And I also refuse to think that Dimon does not know that no US bank should expect to be able to stand solid amid the rubbles of a ruined US economy… not even JPMorgan.
Dimon states: “The US financial services industry does not conform to simple narratives. It is a complex ecosystem that depends on diverse business models coexisting because there is no other way to effectively serve America’s vast array of customers and clients.”
And surely Dimon knows perfectly well, that a complex ecosystem is not made better by regulators who, with much hubris and little wisdom, believe they can help it with their distorting concoctions.
And so Jamie Dimon, instead of writing a letter to JPMorgan’s shareholders considering their short-term interest, should write them a letter that considers the long-term interests of theirs and his own children and grandchildren.
“A ship in harbor is safe, but that is not what ships are for” John Augustus Shedd 1850-1926
@PerKurowski ©
September 15, 2015
Analyzing infrastructure procurement difficulties is more important than opening another public vs. private debate
Sir, it is hard to follow Keith Burnett’s, the vice-chancellor of the University of Sheffield’s logic, as expressed in his “Free markets are a flawed way to plan and fund infrastructure” September 15.
On one hand he mentions free markets cannot deliver essential infrastructure, but on the other he explains this with “lobby groups have the power to halt essential schemes. The result is a tendency to delay procurement of desperately needed infrastructure projects.” If lobby groups have such powers, are we really talking about free markets? “No!” must be the answer. And by the way, who allow themselves most to be influenced by lobbying groups?
And Burnett adds to the confusion by stating “Long-range planning has been replaced by the short-termism that typifies the markets”. I have no idea were he gets to state as a fact that short-termism typifies markets but, if its only to argue that governments are better at taking the long view, he needs to be reminded of the fact that very short term political interests unfortunately drives too much of most governments actions.
There might indeed be many needs for governments having to intervene in infrastructure projects… but if these projects are urgent and not getting due attention or being extremely inefficiently developed, the causes might very well reside in other factors that affect governments and private sector alike.
For instance when I see the slow pace of so many infrastructure projects in the US I always scratch my head and ask myself… is this the same country that in 1940-45 was able to create almost from scratch an incredible war machinery?
Arthur Herman, the author of “Freedom's forge” of 2012, a book that describes how that war machine was built, was asked by Mark Thompson during a discussion of the book: “What’s the most important lesson from World War II for today’s military-industrial complex?”
Herman’s answer: “More military and industry, and less complexity!
Today we have a military-acquisition system that’s way too expensive, way too slow, too bureaucratic, and highly unproductive. There’s a lot today’s Pentagon could learn from their 1940-1945 predecessors.”
In the same way I believe Professor Burnett, though he began doing so, should delve much deeper into the whole problematic of infrastructure procurement. That should prove more useful for all of us, than just opening another private vs. public debate.
@PerKurowski
August 01, 2015
Will drones and robot soldiers send the drill sergeants home?
Here is the short version of a letter to FT as it was published in FT Magazine on August 1, 2015
Like drones, robots also present challenges to the national psyche of their users (“Robot soldiers”, July 18/19) – the possibility of a diminishing human fighting spirit hiding behind drones and robots.
I think it is hard to visualize the same type of national “good feeling”, with homecoming parades and memorials, when scientists and mechanical engineers have done the real fighting. And what will be more important for the advancement of a military career in the future: knowledge about robots or knowledge about your men?
Will the traditional drill sergeant just become a figure featured in History channel documentaries?
What keeps me coming back to these issues is that 70 years ago my father was freed from a concentration camp in Germany by courageous American boots on the ground... not by drones or robots.
Per Kurowski Rockville, Maryland, US
Here is the original longer version of that letter:
Sir, I refer to Geoff Dyer’s interesting “Robot Soldiers”, FT Magazine July 18.
Sir, I refer to Geoff Dyer’s interesting “Robot Soldiers”, FT Magazine July 18.
It is a comprehensive article, except for, like with drones, robots also present challenges to the national psychic of its users. I refer concretely to the possibility of a diminishing fighting spirit of the humans hiding behind drones and robots. And what about in comparison to the fighting spirit of others who cannot do so? What if these others, by for instance a cyber attack, manage to neutralize the drones and robots and it then comes down to a real man to man struggle?
And I am not joking when I say that it is hard to visualize the same type of national good feelings with homecoming parades and memorials, when scientists and mechanical engineers have done the real fighting.
Also, when Dyer quotes Mary Cummings with “I don’t think we have enough competent people within the government to be able to set up acquisition programmes for autonomous weapons or anything robotic,” it makes one think about what will be more important for the advancement of a military career in the future, knowledge about drones and robots, or knowledge about your men… and the implications of that. Will the traditional drill sergeant just become a figure featured in History Channel documentaries?
I must confess though that what keeps me coming back to these issues is that this year 70 years ago, my father was freed from a concentration camp in Germany by courageous American boots on the ground… not by drones or robots. And the question that keeps popping up it my mind is; will American or other soldiers still have what it takes to free other future imprisoned fathers, if need be?
@PerKurowski
July 31, 2015
Risk weights of 0% government and 100% private sector… in “The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave”?
Sir, Gillian Tett writes: “Every nation needs a unifying idea. Americans love to see themselves as champions of free markets and entrepreneurial zeal — and have long been more welcoming to entrepreneurs than has most of the western world”, “The land of free markets, tied down by red tape”, July 31.
And Tett gives some examples business regulations that show how “champions of free markets and entrepreneurial zeal” might not be completely applicable to the America of today. I have a much more extreme example:
In 1988 the US signed up the Basel Accord, which for the purpose of setting the capital requirements for banks, defined the risk-weights to be zero percent for the government, because it is considered safe, and 100 percent when lending for the private sector, because it is considered risky. That clearly distorts the allocation of bank credit in favor of the government and against the private sector.
So could Gillian Tett, or anyone else, please explain to me how that fits the notion of “The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave”?
@PerKurowski
April 24, 2015
Sometimes good bumper stickers are the best way to begin paving the road to a better world.
Sir, Philip Stephens writes: “the US lacks the resources and political will for ‘generational’ projects to transform the Middle East” “Republicans want a bumper sticker world” April 24.
The US Congress Iraq Study Group Report of May 2006 stated: “There are proposals to redistribute a portion of oil revenues directly to the population on a per capita basis. These proposals have the potential to give all Iraqi citizens a stake in the nation’s chief natural resource"
If that idea would have been implemented, you can bet the Middle East would have seen much good transformation… and not only there, other places, like Venezuela, would have benefitted immensely from such example.
Unfortunately the same Report then wrote: “Oil revenues have been incorporated into state budget projections for the next several years. There is no institution in Iraq at present that could properly implement such a distribution system. It would take substantial time to establish, and would have to be based on a well-developed state census and income tax system, which Iraq currently lacks.”
As if that was any real excuse. Any of the big credit card company could have set up a program that could have reached 50 percent of the Iraqis in 1 year, with the ambition of covering 100 percent in five years. What a missed opportunity for a real silver bullet.
But the US has other strengths… for instance with respect to oil revenue sharing why not ask Hollywood to make an inspirational movie.
It could for instance depict how a hypothetical country, one like Venezuela in which 97 percent of all that nations exports go directly into government coffers, becomes fundamentally transformed for the better, when some a “Hayek platoon” manages to allow the power of oil resources to flow directly to the citizens.
Recently Marco Rubio stated: “More government isn’t going to help you get ahead. It’s going to hold you back. More government isn’t going to create more opportunities. It’s going to limit them. And more government isn’t going to inspire new ideas, new businesses and new private sector jobs. It’s going to create uncertainty.”
And so that idea would seem to fit the political platform of any Republican who aspires the presidency, and, hopefully, also that of some democrats.
And a good bumper sticker: “Citizen’s should not need to live in somebody else’s business – End Natural Resource Curses” could perhaps be a way to begin it all.
And Sir, you know of course that if there is one bumper sticker I would also like to see in the next elections, that is “Stop bank regulators’ odious discrimination… against the ‘risky’ SMEs and entrepreneurs… that is un-American… that does not belong in the Land of the Free nor in the Home of the Brave”.
@PerKurowski
March 25, 2015
Since development seems not really mean the same for UK than for China, why should UK join AIIB?
Sir, I am from Venezuela, and the United States has at least recently criticized what is happening in my country, while China in most non-transparent ways has mostly dedicated itself to finance and take advantage of what is happening in my country. And that I confess is one subjective reason for why I find it so hard to agree with Martin Wolf’s “It is folly to rebuff China’s bank”, March 24.
But that said I also feel that in order not to lose yourself in the new globalized world, you need to be able to reassert who you really are, now more than ever. And in that respect, few are so close as the US and Britain. In April 1999, feeling that the UK could become slightly uncomfortable with EU and with the Euro, and having heard about the ideas of Conrad Black and Paul Johnson, I even speculated in an Op-Ed about “A new English language empire”.
In essence I find no good reason why the UK should lend some credibility, against what is clearly no real influence, to an organization that does not really share its values. I am certain that, at least for the time being, when Wolf and I, UK and US, speak about development, we mean something quite different than what current China does… or at least so I hope.
PS. And, sincerely, I find Martin Wolf’s “As a former staff member of the World Bank” statement, indicating that as far as not living up to the “highest global standards”, AIIB and World Bank would stand on similar ground, to be clearly out of line.
PS. And by the way, to present oneself as a development buff, while at the same time not objecting to those credit-risk-weighted equity requirements for banks that clearly stand in the way of development, is sort of silly.
@PerKurowski
February 28, 2015
No Tim Harford. On a train it is the passenger who takes the decision which class he travels.
Sir, Tim Harford might have seriously confounded us explaining some downside of net neutrality for us with his splendid train allegory in “Battle for the web’s ‘last mile’” February 28.
But, the web’s ‘last mile’, still ends up in my TV or my computer. And I should not be forced to have the services I want, to have to travel third class just because the railway company, behind my back, without me having a chance of bidding for it, sold out the whole first class to a content provider that is of no interest to me.
Let instead cable companies put that power into us their customer’s hands, and so that we can decide in what class different content providers should travel to meet us. Is that an optimum solution? No, but better. Currently on the last mile of the electrical transmission line to my house in Maryland I, at least in theory, decide who the generator of the electricity reaching my lamps is to be. By the way perhaps I should perhaps get to know that generator better… you cannot let anyone into your house.
And, while Harford is at it… as I have a feeling I own my own preferences and myself, perhaps he should think about whether Google should pay me a royalty whenever it sells to an advertiser an access to me. But of course, since some consumers are worth more than others that could perhaps lead to an increase in inequality, and we would not want that in these Piketty days, would we?
@PerKurowski
February 09, 2015
Some are unfortunately the “Too Small To Be Invited To Basel Or Davos Banks”
Sir, Tracy Alloway reports on that “New rules hit small US banks ‘hardest’” February 9. She is right, but this has been since the imposition of credit-risk-weighted equity requirements, because:
Small banks, compared to big, attend proportionally much more the borrowing needs of clients who are perceived as “risky”, like local small businesses and entrepreneurs.
Small banks, compared to big, find it more difficult to engage in that financial sophistication, whether real or pseudo, used to dress up balance sheets as safer.
And therefore small banks, compared to big, must usually hold proportionally more equity, which makes it more difficult for these to produce competitive returns for their shareholders.
The small banks and their “risky” clients are never invited to discuss their problems with the Basel Committee or the Financial Stability Board…they are too small to be able to adequately feed the ego of regulators.
Small banks are never invited to Davos, as neither are their small “risky” clients.
September 17, 2014
Martin Wolf, a neighbor, Russia, can become dangerous by Europe’s and US’ own weakening.
Sir, Martin Wolf is absolutely right when he writes “For Europe and, I believe, the US, there is no greater foreign policy question than how to deal with today’s Russia”, “Russia is our most dangerous neighbor” September 17.
But that said let us not never ignore the dangers with a neighbor becoming more dangerous, only because ones’ own country is becoming weaker. And in this respect something is happening both in Europe and in the US.
Only as an example I cannot shake off the impression it made on me seeing the image of Britain’s David Cameron, Germany’s Angela Merkel, Holland’s Mark Rutte and Sweden’s Fredrik Reinfeldt, in a row boat, in a little lake, probably surrounded by thousands of life guards… wearing life vests… exactly where, perhaps in the same boat, 50 years earlier, we had seen Tage Erlander of Sweden and Nikita Khrushchev, rowing… without life vests.
What I said to those around me was “Never ever would Winston Churchill (or Putin) have allowed to be photographed in a little row boat, on a small lake, close to the shore, wearing a life vest!”
What I said to those around me was “Never ever would Winston Churchill (or Putin) have allowed to be photographed in a little row boat, on a small lake, close to the shore, wearing a life vest!”
And with respect to the US, I just heard on the radio of a soccer team being sued because one of the players hurt his head while playing… come on... in the "home of the brave"?
And of course I do not refer here to any silly bare-chested testosterone showing-off, like Putin often does… but, of course, I do refer here to that de-testosteroning of our banks, which risk adverse regulators are causing with their credit-risk-weighted capital requirements.
PS. By the way, in order not to become dangerously cocky, we should never forget that one of the reasons for the fall of Russia was the low oil price at that time.
July 21, 2014
When you cut off economic buds from fair access to bank credit you cannot but get slim pickings in the job market
Sir, I refer to James Politi’s report on US jobs “Slim pickings” July 21.
When you have bank regulations which, by means of capital requirements based on perceived risk, discriminate against fair access to bank credit of medium and small businesses, entrepreneurs and start-ups, you stop energizing the labor market, and therefore all you will get is some obese growth… and so of course there will be slim pickings… like mostly low-wage jobs increases. And the same or even worse goes for Europe.
Risk weighted capital requirements undoubtedly distorts the allocation of bank credit to the real economy. To see this problem being completely absent from the discussions at for instance the Federal Reserve, is truly sad.
Perhaps that silence has to do with no one being able to coherently explain a valid reason for those regulations… or, as John Kenneth Galbraith worded it in his “Money” 1975, “There is a reluctance in our time to attribute great consequences to human inadequacy – to what, in a semantically less cautious era, was called stupidity” [all made worse because] “men of reputation naturally see the person who has been right as a threat to their own eminence”.
May 01, 2014
What’s the use of splendid arteries in the US if its heart does not pump?
Sir, you again express concern about that “US infrastructure is crumbling” May 1, and that is very nice of you. But, considering you are the Financial Times, and not the Bridge Construction Times, should you not better concentrate on how the heart of the financial system, the banks, in “the land of the free and the home of the brave”, is pumping less and less of that true risk-taking needed in order to keep the economy moving forward, in order to have something to transport on those bridges?
Again, just as a reminder, in case you’ve forgotten: capital requirements for banks which allow banks to earn much higher risk-adjusted returns when lending to “the infallible” than when lending to “the risky” is pure bad heart attack provoking cholesterol.
PS. You refer to a bill drafted by John Delaney that would give US companies a tax break on any repatriated foreign earnings invested in US infrastructure… have you asked yourself in what assets those profits are currently invested and had to be liquidated in order to do that?
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