October 29, 2008

Après us le déluge?

Preventing a global slump is indeed a priority as Martin Wolf says October 29, but relying solely on government to do so could mean breaking the back of their finances, further inflaming “xenophobia, nationalism and revolution.”

We need to help governments to be able to help in ways that keep their credibility and therefore, instead of talking about tax cuts, knowing that so many new and urgent real life spending needs will knock on their doors soon, more than recommend tax cuts, as if those had no costs or as in let-our-grandchildren pay, we need to start thinking about new taxes that could be perceived as legitimate and interfering little with the economy.

I am floating around two new tax proposals. A special tax on all profits derived from intellectual property rights that will help to pay for the costs of enforcing those rights and a progressive corporate tax based on market share and that, among other, could help to keep in check the too big to fail risks.

Another possibility is that governments use very long term zero-coupon bonds when providing assistance buying up portfolios or mortgages, remember the Brady bonds?. That could at least buy them the time needed for economies to reflate back to where this new public debts can be duly serviced. Yes, “deflation is lethal for indebted economies” but so is public debt when it surpasses the level of what is perceived as manageable.