January 29, 2015
Sir, I refer to Ralph Atkins’ and Michael Mackenzie’s “Caught in a debt trap” January 29.
They write “Crisis-fighting actions by central banks have not only sent yields on government debt to lows not previously seen in recent history but many of them are negative. Across much of Europe, investors are actually paying for the privilege of lending money to governments in some cases.”
Indeed, but little can be concluded from that without referencing the regulatory trap in which banks have been caught.
In Europe banks represent by far the most important part of how liquidity is transmitted to the real economy. And Europe’s equity scarce banks, because of tightening equity requirements, for instance by means of the leverage ratio, while the risk-weighted equity requirements are still in place, are being forced to take cover, more and more, in what regulators have denominated to be safe havens… with deposits at central banks and debts of “infallible sovereigns” being the safest of those.
And so banks, at gunpoint, are forced to accept negative rates on their deposits with central banks or incest in low yielding sovereigns. And so what we see is not a market expressing its free will, but a market that is competing with banks subject to distorting regulations.
If Mario Draghi had not been the Chairman of the Financial Stability Board, and might therefore be too reluctant to concede how disastrous current bank regulations are, then perhaps the recent stress tests of European banks would have included an analysis of what was not on their balance sheets. And that would have pointed squarely to the lack of lending to the “risky” small businesses and entrepreneurs… those tough risk-takers Europe needs to get going now when the going is tough.
I still believe bank regulators did it all because of sheer group-think derived stupidity but, if not, they should be… well, I leave that to you.