Showing posts with label Stefan Wagstyl. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stefan Wagstyl. Show all posts

August 22, 2016

Ms Merkel, Mr Renzi and Mr Hollande. Do you want to tackle growth and youth issues? Read the memo or give me a call.

Sir, Arthur Beesley, Anne-Sylvaine Chassany in Paris and Stefan Wagstyl report on that the leaders of Germany, France and Italy will attempt to forge a common plan to bolster Europe’s economy; and that Sandro Gozi, Italian secretary of state for European affairs said: “Europe needs an immediate answer on growth, youth and security issues”, “European leaders seek to bolster economy” August 22.

Part of that is because the result of that a the €315bn investment plan introduced last year by Jean-Claude Juncker, European Commission designed to tackle youth unemployment, during its first year, fell well short of expectations.

Here is what I would suggest they should do. They should ask their bank regulators whether when they regulated they gave any attention to the need that banks cooperate promoting sustainable growth and employment for the youth?

The answer they should receive, if the regulators were honest, would be: “Not one iota… all we cared about was for banks to avoid the risks we all perceive ex ante!”.

At that moment Ms Merkel Mr Renzi and Mr Hollande should begin to get an intuition that something is not smelling right.

In short, the current risk weighted capital requirements have banks avoiding the financing of the riskier future, and just keeping to the financing of the safer past, and that’s not the way for our economy to move forward, in order to not stall and fall.

Of course, if they want further explanation on how inept the current bank regulators are, they could read the following aide memoire, or they could give me a call.

@PerKurowski ©

June 02, 2016

It is not Draghi v the banks; it is Draghi and his regulation colleagues v SMEs, entrepreneurs and the real economy.

Sir, two comments on James Shotter’s and Stefan Wagstyl’s “FT Big Read Germany: Draghi v the banks”, June 1.

It refers to Mario Draghi arguing “low borrowing costs were symptomatic of a glut in global savings for which Germany was partly to blame”. Why, in a world where never before has a generation consumed as much of any existing borrowing capacity to sustain its own consumption, should “saving” be something to be “blamed” for?

And then the title: “Draghi v the banks”. It does not sound right! Anyone having agreed to allow banks to leverage their equity over 60 to 1, only because the asset had an AAA to AA rating, can’t possibly be against the banks… he has in fact for many years helped make bankers’ wet dreams come true.

The SMEs and the entrepreneurs, those who because of the risk weighted capital requirements did not gain access to bank credit, and had therefore to forego their dreams for a better future, they are his true enemies, or at least the ones Draghi does not care about. And add to his list of enemies, or equally ignored, all the young who, because of regulatory credit risk aversion, will now not have the possibility to get jobs… ever.

@PerKurowski ©

June 09, 2015

In Paris Conference we will hear many echoing Neville Chamberlain: There will be splendid planet earth for our time

Pilita Clark and Stefan Wagstyl report on “G7 in historic accord to phase out fossil fuel emissions this century”, June 9. Hurrah!

But when Stephen Harper, the Canadian premier, brings it down to reality mentioning that: “doing so would require “serious technological transformation…I don’t think we should fool ourselves, nobody’s going to start to shut down their industries or turn off the lights” it makes it all look much more that a historic hullaballoo… in preparation for all to come out of the Paris conference in December declaring, like any Neville Chamberlain: There will be splendid planet earth for our time.

As I have held for many years, any planet earth environmental agreement, if disconnected from the people will not work… and in that respect Governments, NGOs and Greens are not the people.

Also for me, to read about phasing out fossil fuel without phasing in nuclear power, which for the time being is the only available bridge between now and that “serious technological transformation”, shows this is not a real serious effort.

What do little me currently propose we do for our pied-a-terre?

For a starter… instead of allowing banks to earn especially high risk adjusted returns on equity on anything perceived as safe from a credit risk point of view, something which has no purpose and is dumb, we should give banks the incentives to earn those extra high returns on everything that seems to help sustainability (and job creation).

Put one and the same capital (equity) requirements for banks on all assets, for instance 8 percent, and then reduce these with up to 50 percent depending on planet earth sustainability ratings (or job creation ratings).

And please, please, please… stop talking about differences between rich and poor with respect to their responsibility to planet earth… we are all indigenous to our planet, and we all have the same human right to feel responsible for it. The “I am rich so I can take care of it better” has to stop.

PS. And forget about selling carbon emission indulgences for some fairly undefined sins in order to use the proceeds for some even less defined good deeds.

@PerKurowski

September 11, 2014

Mario Draghi… you are personally responsible for any ECB liquidity injections in Europe being just wasted away.

Sir, I refer to Stefan Wagstyl’s “ECB presses on with securities plan” September 10.

Mario Draghi, as the former chairman of the Financial Stability Board must be aware that, because of the risk-weighted capital requirements, all those borrowers who have the misfortune of ex ante being perceived as risky from a credit point of view, independently of how important they could be for the European economy, and for European job generation, will not have fair access to bank credit.

And so therefore banks will by means of their credits not be able to allocate any ECB (or fiscal deficit) liquidity injections efficiently to the European economy.

And one of the reasons for why this distortive regulatory lunacy introduced 10 years ago with Basel II survives, is the quite natural but still highly irresponsible reluctance of regulators to admit their mistake.

And that is why, I at least, hold Mario Draghi personally responsible if any ECB liquidity injection in Europe is just wasted away… and this even though he might not care one iota about it, as he sure must be surrounded by so many other who support his ego by daily reaffirming his magnificence.

November 22, 2013

Mario Draghi has no moral right to speak about discrimination among Europeans

Stefan Wagstyl reports that Mario Draghi, reacted against “nationalistic undertones” and stated “We are not German, neither French nor Spaniards, nor Italian: We are Europeans”, “Draghi hits at rate policy critics”, November 22.

Sir, Mario Draghi has no moral right to speak about discrimination among Europeans. As the chairman for many years of the Financial Stability Board, he approved of that banks need to hold much much less capital when lending to an “infallible” European than when lending to a “risky” one.

That caused of course banks to avoid lending to those were they could leverage their equity much much less, and thereby not obtain the high expected risk-adjusted returns on their equity the “infallible” offered them.

Talk about exclusion! Talk about increasing inequality gaps! Go home Mario Draghi! Europe was not built upon risk-aversion!