The investors know very well what is going on.
Personally I am convinced we will fall over to the inflation side because the public debt will become unsustainable; there are other bottlenecks like oil out there; and I do not see sufficient political will to stop the printing press from working overtime.
What I do not agree is when Gillian Tett says that “investors lack the intellectual framework to make sense of what is going on”, they know perfectly well that it is the governments and the regulators who lack the intellectual framework to make sense of what is going on, as evidenced by the lack of efforts to ascertain we will not have a new cull of subprime financial regulators in Basel.