July 24, 2009

The investors know very well what is going on.

Sir Gillian Tett in “Investors are floundering in post-traumatic syndrome” July 24, writes that “the number fretting about inflation is similar to those concerned about deflation – with almost no one sitting on the fence”. No wonder, to be sitting on the fence presupposes governments know what they are doing and if they did why are we in this crisis to begin with?

Personally I am convinced we will fall over to the inflation side because the public debt will become unsustainable; there are other bottlenecks like oil out there; and I do not see sufficient political will to stop the printing press from working overtime.

What I do not agree is when Gillian Tett says that “investors lack the intellectual framework to make sense of what is going on”, they know perfectly well that it is the governments and the regulators who lack the intellectual framework to make sense of what is going on, as evidenced by the lack of efforts to ascertain we will not have a new cull of subprime financial regulators in Basel.