September 05, 2006

Seems migration estimates were wrong all over

Sir, it was interesting to read John Kay’s piece on “How the migration estimates turned out so wrong” (September 5) where he describes the serious underestimations made in in official studies commissioned by the European Commission. These estimates stand out in stark contradiction with the extremely high unofficial estimates of millions I was told by my close to panicking European friends and family. From what we now see the estimates were normally distributed with reality coming out close to the average.