Little guys will still be little guys
That said what really seems to be calling the shots now, both for big and small guys alike, are just plain old time fundamentals, like the environment and the availability of energy. Naím begins his article with the example of big Shell giving in to a small Bolivia but he knows very well that in a world of 5 dollars per barrel, as actually some major pundits spoke about as late as 1999, nobody would give a jota for a small southern-hemisphere hillbilly who happened to strike it rich and who probably would misspend his fortune soon anyhow. Had only the Big one act responsible and checked his runaway consumption of oil, then Bolivia would sadly still be forgotten and perhaps Baghdad a non issue.
Sent to FT, June 13, 2006