September 23, 2008

There is a cultural war looming on the financial front

Sir Gillian Tett writes that the “Era of leverage is over” September 23 but sort of mulls over the fact that leverage is not an absolute financial value but only another dimension of risk, since a zero leveraged investment in something risky could be more risky than a 100:1 leveraged investment in something less risky. The problem, as always, is who is to determine the risk.

When Gillian Tett mentions that “Basel Two capital rules will now force banks to hold more capital against esoteric assets” it is a great moment to remind ourselves how extraordinary little esoteric those lousily awarded mortgages to the subprime sector really were.

In the US there is a lot of talk about a cultural war breaking out on the political front but the stage is also set for a cultural war on the financial front; between those who believe that markets should be allowed to freely determine risks and those who believe in soviet-styled-central-planning and feel that, even having to face the current disaster, this is best left in the hands of official risk-kommissars, which is what the outsourced credit rating agencies really are.