April 22, 2021
Sir, I refer to “Draghi plots €221bn rebuilding of Italy’s recession ravaged economy” Miles Johnson and Sam Fleming, and to “Europe’s future hinges on Italy’s recovery fund reforms”, Andrea Lorenzo Capusella, FT April 22, and to so many other articles that touch upon the issue of Italy’s future, in order to ask some direct questions.
Do you think Italy’s chances of a bright future lies more in the hands of Italy’s government and its bureaucrats, than in hands of e.g., Italian small businesses and entrepreneurs?
I ask this because, with current risk weighted bank capital requirements, regulators, like Mario Draghi a former chairman of the Financial Stability Board, arguably arguing Italy’s government represents less credit risk, do de facto also state it is more worthy of credit. I firmly reject such a notion.
Yes, Italy clearly shows a stagnant productivity, but could that be improved by in any way increasing its government revenues?
Italy, before Covid-19, showed figures around 150% of public debt to GDP and government spending of close to 50% of GDP. I am among the last to condone tax evasion… but if Italian had paid all their taxes… would its government represent a lower share of GDP spending, and do you believe its debt to GDP would be lower?
One final question: Sir, given how Italy is governed, excluding from it any illegal activities such as drug trafficking, where do you think it would be without its shadow eeconomy, its economia sommersa? A lot better? Hmm!
PS. As you know (but seemingly turn a blind eye to), Italy’s debt, even though it cannot print euros on its own, has, independent of credit ratings, been assigned by EU regulators, a 0% risk weight.