Should financing human rights’ violators help fund US pensions?

Sir, I refer to Colby Smith’s “Year began with ‘hardcore fear of missing out’ but now holders of Caracas debt have lost hope” December 21

I wonder how one can discuss the chances of creditors collecting on Venezuela’s debts, ignoring that their funds have all gone to finance a notoriously corrupt and inept government that has and is evidently committing crimes against human rights?

Odious debts is mostly the direct result of odious credits…

With respect to the sanctions of Venezuela by the US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control, an international bondholder is quoted. “These sanctions were just a disaster, and all this has done is damage holders of the bonds, many of which manage money for US pensioners.” Really in these days when financing of good social purposes is promoted, like to finance the sustainable development goals, SDG’s, should financing human rights’ violators really help fund pensions?

Frankly, “Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, BlackRock and Pimco” as well as Goldman Sachs should all be shamed; and tell us the name of that “one bondholder group holding $8bn of Venezuela’s debt”, because such exposures do not happen without very close and incestuous contacts with the government.

@PerKurowski

Sir FT, do you, or our dear The Undercover Economist Tim Harford, have an explanation for what is a monstrous regulatory mistake?

Sir, I refer to Tim Harford’s “The Changing Face of Economics” December 19.

As an economist, if I were to regulate or supervise banks, I would mostly be concerned with bankers not perceiving the credit risk correctly. Wouldn’t you?

That’s why I cannot understand why so many economist colleagues, when acting as bank regulators, can be so dumb so as to bet our banking systems on that bankers will be able to perceive what is safe correctly. 

Let me explain it having bankers answering the four possible outcomes.

If the ex ante risky, ex post turns out safe = “Great News we helped an entrepreneur to have success”

If the ex ante risky, ex post turns out safe = “You see, that is why we lend them little and charge them high risk adjusted interest rates.”

If the ex ante safe, ex post turns out safe = “Just as we expected”

If the ex ante safe, ex post turns out risky = “Holy moly what do we now do? We lend it way too much at way too low interest rates”

But the regulators in the Basel Committee, in their Basel II of 2004, assigned risk weights of only 20% for what is so dangerous to our bank systems as what human fallible credit rating agencies have rated AAA, and a whopping 150% for what has been made so innocous, by being rated below BB-?

Sir, so do you, or our dear The Undercover Economist Tim Harford, have an explanation for what is clearly a monstrous regulatory mistake? 

Or is it that you, and our dear The Undercover Economist Tim Harford, out of sheer collegiality solidarity, both agree with such dumb regulations?

If so, let me assure you that when I studied economics, it was to learn and understand economics, not to join an economists’ union/mutual admiration club.

http://perkurowski.blogspot.com/2016/04/here-are-17-reasons-for-why-i-believe.html

PS Tweet: I can understand a child believing that what’s rated below BB- is more dangerous to our bank systems than what’s rated AAA, and therefore assigning a bank capital requirement of 12% to the BB- rated assets, and only 1.6% to those rated AAA. But mature professionals?

@PerKurowski

The bank capital requirements for Greek banks when lending to its government, should be the same as when lending to Greek entrepreneurs.

Sir, Kerin Hope reports: “Christos Staikouras, the finance minister, told the Greek parliament the Hercules scheme would boost the stability of the country’s financial system and open the way for increased lending to fund the real economy”

In my opinion removing non-performing loans do not guarantee increased lending to fund the real economy. For that to happen the bank capital requirements for holding Greek public debt should be the same as when lending to the real economy. As is, all it will do is to allow banks to easier continue funding the Greek government, all in accordance with that implied Basel Committee principle that government bureaucrats know better what to do with bank credit they’re not personally responsible for, than for instance Greek entrepreneurs.

For having assigned Greece’s government a zero risk weight, even though Greece cannot print euros on its own, if I were a Greek citizen, I would try to haul the European Commission in front of the International Court of Justice. That caused and still causes the excessive borrowing by Greek governments not especially known for resisting temptations, something which has mortgaged the future of all Greek grandchildren.

https://teawithft.blogspot.com/2018/09/in-case-of-greece-eu-violated.html

@PerKurowski

Sovereign borrowings are never “for free”. There are always opportunity costs, especially when there’s so much distortion favoring it.

Sir, you hold that “Fiscal stimulus can relieve monetary policy if invested wisely” “Governments must learn to love borrowing again” December 9.

“If invested wisely”, what a caveat, but so could private borrowing and investment help do. That is if they were allowed to access bank credit in a non-discriminatory way. As is much lower statist bank capital requirements when lending to the sovereign, has banks basically doing QEs acquiring sovereign debt, and this also implies bureaucrats know better what to do with bank credit they’re not personally responsible for, than for instance entrepreneurs.

It surprises when you state: “Central banks should not be blamed for loose monetary policy. As long as governments are not willing to expand on the fiscal side, central bankers are legally obliged to make up the shortfall in demand support” Legally obliged? Are you constructing a defense for all those failed central bankers that FT has so much helped to egg on? Because, as you yourself argue, “ultra-loose monetary policy has inflated asset prices and may be slowing productivity growth by keeping uneconomic businesses alive”, they sure have failed.

I also find it shameful to argue: “When governments can borrow for free there is little reason not to invest to the hilt.” What “for free”? The current low cost of government borrowing is the direct result of QEs and regulatory discrimination against other bank borrowers, and that distortion results in huge opportunity costs for the society. Also each new public debt contracted eats up a part of that borrowing capacity at a reasonable cost, which is an asset that should not be squandered away. Reading this editorial, which in summary begs for kicking the crisis can forward by any available means, makes me feel inclined to suspect you have no grandchildren.

Sir, finally, with governments borrowing to tackle “green transition challenges” you are opening up great opportunities for climate change profiteers, which will be exploited, you can bet on that. The more concerned you are with climate change the more concerned you should be with keeping all climate-change-fight financial/political profiteers far away. If not we will not be able to afford the fight against climate change, or to help mitigate its consequences.

Financial communism... that's what we have

@PerKurowski

Bank regulators rigged capitalism in favor of the state and the “safer” present and against the “riskier” future.

Sir, Martin Wolf with respect to needed financial sector reforms mentions “Radical solution: raise the capital requirements of banking intermediaries substantially, while reducing prescriptive interventions; and, crucially, eliminate the tax-deductibility of interest, so putting debt finance on a par with equity.” “How to reform today’s rigged capitalism” December 4.

What has rigged capitalism the most during the last decades is the introduction of risk weighted bank capital requirements which rigs the allocation of credit in favor of the sovereign and that which is perceived, decreed or concocted as safe, and against the credit needed to finance the riskier future, like SMEs and entrepreneurs.

That distortion is no eliminated with general higher capital requirements like the leverage ratio introduced with Basel III, but only by totally eliminating the credit risk weighting.

Wolf expresses great concern “over the role of money in politics and way the media works” I agree. The reason why media in general, and FT in particular, have refused to denounce the stupidity with credit risk weighted bank capital requirements based on that what bankers perceive risky being more dangerous to our bank systems than what bankers perceive safe, is most probably not wanting to trample on bankers’ toes. As is, bankers are allowed to leverage the most; to earn the highest risk adjusted return on equity, on what they think safe. Is that not a bankers dream come true? As is, we are facing the dangerous overpopulation by banks of all safe havens, while the rest of us are then forced out to the risky oceans in search of any returns. 

“A ship in harbor is safe, but that is not what ships are for.” John A. Shedd.

http://teawithft.blogspot.com/2009/10/please-free-us-from-imprudent-risk.html

@PerKurowski